Generally speaking Bruce and I see things on the Linux front fairly differently. But in this instance, I find myself in near complete agreement across the board.
As the article points out, Ubuntu is taking double hits from both general naysayers along with those of the purist group that simply feel that it is mooching off of Debian code. In first instance, the problem Ubuntu faces comes from the fact that it has created a level of expectation in which some feel is has not been able to meet.
On the Debian front however, I have little pity here. They had years to choose to reach across the spectrum – it never happened. So Ubuntu was to a degree a necessary evil in the eyes of many. While Debian is vastly more stable, it is clearly not hitting the right chord with the newbies. Apparently enough folks want Linux to cutting edge. Debian stable is hardly that. Go figure.