Has The Growth Of Mozilla Firefox Slowed To A Crawl? You Decide

A recent article over at Tom’s Hardware brings up an interesting point about Mozilla Firefox. The author seems to feel that Firefox growth has slowed down dramatically compared to the years 2007 and 2008. The article also concludes that Firefox is coming under fire by other browsers such as IE 9 and Chrome that continue to improve. But according to the report, Mozilla commands about 30% of the browser market. So though the growth may be slowing, I see no relationship in the report that Firefox is losing market share any time soon.

The report states the following:

Could Mozilla be squeezed out of the market?

Mozilla calculated the numbers by averaging different estimates from Net Applications, Quantcast, NetApplications and Gemius. There is only public access to detailed browser usage data at NetApplications, which can provide some insight in browser usage trends, while the actual market share estimate varies enough to make you question the accuracy of any of these reports.

NetApplications for example, believes that the market share of Firefox is in the neighborhood of 24%, while Gemius puts it closer to 46%, StatCounter at 32%, and Quantcast at 36%. Interestingly, Mozilla itself says that NetApplications claims a 35% market share for Firefox, which this is not what NetApplications publicly states (about 24%). Obviously, the actual market share is almost impossible to pin down as you can spin the number in any direction you want by using the statistics that suit your purpose best.

There is the problem. Whose numbers are we to believe? How accurate are any of the numbers? I believe until a method is developed that can be 100% accurate, it is just smoke and mirrors, plus wishful thinking, for some.

Comments, as always, are welcome.



Statistics seem to make the Internet tick. People are always wondering which blog has the most traffic, who makes the most advertising revenue, who’s the most popular, and so on. Some of these statistics are important for business reasons, but a lot of people take certain statistics too far and use them as the basis for everything, which can get you in trouble. I may like to know who’s at the top, but I don’t necessarily follow them just because they’re at the top. Good content is good content regardless of where it comes from, and once you realize that, you won’t get too caught up in the statistics game. Of course, if you want statistics, then one of the most popular places to go for them is Alexa.

Rankings, related links, statistics, and user reviews can all be found by searching for a site on Alexa, and while it is popular and their information is often referenced during traffic debates, the information isn’t truly reflective of the entire online community as it is based off of the usage of those who have installed their browser toolbar. I’m not one for toolbars in my browser as I’m sure many of you aren’t either, so right off the bat, our browsing habits aren’t collected by the Alexa Toolbar for rankings on Alexa, and that means that their information is skewed and dependent on the people who use the toolbar. Even though some of us may love to hate them, I’m willing to count on the fact that at least some of the opposers secretly and frequently check Alexa to see what their ranking is.

[tags]Alexa, Alexa Toolbar, Statistics, Internet, Traffic, Popularity, Rankings[/tags]